Skip to main content
Part of complete coverage on

After baby formula, what will China harvest next and where will they go?

By Ramy Inocencio, for CNN
April 24, 2013 -- Updated 0052 GMT (0852 HKT)
Six babies in China died, while hundreds of thousands more fell ill, after drinking tainted milk powder in 2008.
Six babies in China died, while hundreds of thousands more fell ill, after drinking tainted milk powder in 2008.
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • More affluent Chinese able to travel beyond borders for quality food products
  • Beijing searching for natural resource supplies to protect national interests
  • Soybeans, pork, oil, iron ore are commodities that may be impacted, say analysts

Hong Kong (CNN) -- Baby formula, pigs, soybeans, oil and iron ore -- a seemingly disparate grouping -- have one thing in common. These commodities are all in high demand from an insatiable and growing China.

Personal choice drives some of this demand. Chinese national interest fuels demand for others.

For example, since 2008, when hundreds of thousands of babies fell ill from tainted milk formula, Chinese mainlanders began to travel the world looking for milk powder sources perceived as more trustworthy. A growing middle class, with the money to travel, are China's new global consumers looking for quality beyond borders.

At the same time, because of China's lack of certain key resources needed to feed its people and fuel its economy -- the second largest in the world -- Beijing has moved to secure oil, iron ore and crops halfway around the world.

Dead pigs found floating in river
Why are ducks dying in China?

Regardless, whether by choice or by force, China and its citizens are looking to new markets and buying what they need. It is a sign of things to come, say analysts.

Soybeans: Stuff of oil, tofu and animal feed

"On a per capita basis, China has half the arable land and a third to a quarter of the water than the global average," says Merritt Cluff of the Food and Agriculture Organization in Rome. "As they've gone through phenomenal growth, their food security has diminished marvelously. The question is who is going to feed China."

China is the world's largest importer of soybeans. The grain is one of the key starting links in the country's food chain, used to make cooking oil, tofu products and in feed for the burgeoning pig industry. In 2012, the world's most populous country imported 59% of the world's soybean supply, according to FAO data, up from about 25% in 2000.

"If they had to produce their own soybeans, they would need to use 28 million hectares," says Cluff. That would mean nearly one-quarter -- about 23% -- of China's total arable land would be used for soybeans, based on China's latest data from 2008. Just 12% of China's total area was arable in 2011, according to the World Bank, compared to 17.5% in the U.S. and 34% in Germany.

"They decided they could not do that (use so much arable land for soybeans) -- so they import," added Cluff.

China relies on three main exporters for its soybean supply -- all in the Americas: Brazil, the U.S and Argentina which account for nearly half -- 46% -- of the supply of global exports.

Pork: '470 million pigs in China'

Besides soybeans, China is the world's biggest consumer of pork products eating "more pig products than the rest of the world combined," says Cluff. "Existing estimates have China at 48% of global consumption."

While China is estimated to have raised 470 million pigs in 2012, a number that increased about 1.5% each year over the last decade according to FAO, that has not been enough to keep up with demand. China is a net importer of pork products -- from the U.S., Europe and Canada in particular.

"There is lots of concern," added Cluff. "As an analyst it's been on almost everyone's mind for the last 30 years."

That concern extends from food to natural resources and China's search for supplies around the world.

Oil acquisitions and agreements

In July 2012, Chinese oil producer, CNOOC, paid $15 billion to acquire Nexen, one of Canada's largest independent oil companies which owns assets in the Gulf of Mexico, in the North Sea off the coast of Great Britain and off the coast of Nigeria. In November 2012, China's Sinopec and Saudi Arabia's Aramaco signed an agreement that would send 1.4 million barrels a day to the Asian nation.

But one China economics watcher says the world "shouldn't be too worried" and that demand for food -- and for natural resources from oil to iron ore -- may eventually see decreased demand.

"China is the world's factory but those factories used to be in other cheaper countries. They got relocated to China because it's cheaper to manufacture," says Professor Zhigang Tao, Associate Dean of Business and Economics at the University of Hong Kong. "So on paper, you see increasing demand from China for natural resources, but this is displacing demand from other countries -- from South Korea and Japan to China."

Production costs for foreign multinationals will rise in China, adds Tao, "so a few years down the road we may ask the same questions about Vietnam and India."

ADVERTISEMENT
Part of complete coverage on
April 22, 2013 -- Updated 0647 GMT (1447 HKT)
Twitter resumes -- or "twesumes" -- have been touted as the best way for social media-savvy types to snag a dream job.
April 17, 2013 -- Updated 0800 GMT (1600 HKT)
We live in a three-speed economic world, according to the International Monetary Fund.
April 17, 2013 -- Updated 1627 GMT (0027 HKT)
Women have long dominated the heated discussion around gender equality. But men need to too, says Facebook's Sheryl Sandberg.
April 19, 2013 -- Updated 1053 GMT (1853 HKT)
Security threats from mobile malware are on the rise and nearly 95% of targets operate on the Android operating system, according to a new report from NQ Mobile.
April 15, 2013 -- Updated 2006 GMT (0406 HKT)
Microsoft is working on a touch-enabled smartwatch, The Wall Street Journal says, reporting that the company asked Asian suppliers to ship components for the device.
April 19, 2013 -- Updated 0647 GMT (1447 HKT)
Give your anxious, negative colleagues a chance, and they just might surprise you.
April 17, 2013 -- Updated 1046 GMT (1846 HKT)
In Europe, high-speed rail has come to stand for ease and efficiency where journeys of four hours or less trump airplanes and the hassle of airport security.
April 19, 2013 -- Updated 1812 GMT (0212 HKT)
Infographic: Singapore may be tiny but it is also one of East Asia's most powerful trading hubs.
April 22, 2013 -- Updated 0027 GMT (0827 HKT)
In Hong Kong urban lore, an apartment where a violent death took place can often be bought for as much as 10-30 per cent off the market price.
April 16, 2013 -- Updated 1605 GMT (0005 HKT)
With gold prices officially in a bear market, investors must ask themselves if this is the time to buy?
ADVERTISEMENT